Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 44.26%. A win for AVS had a probability of 29.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest AVS win was 0-1 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Santa Clara would win this match.
Result | ||
Santa Clara | Draw | AVS |
44.26% (![]() | 26.37% (![]() | 29.36% (![]() |
Both teams to score 50.94% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.54% (![]() | 53.46% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.02% (![]() | 74.98% (![]() |
Santa Clara Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.97% (![]() | 24.03% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.71% (![]() | 58.29% (![]() |
AVS Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.05% (![]() | 32.95% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.46% (![]() | 69.53% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Santa Clara | Draw | AVS |
1-0 @ 11.29% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.94% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.05% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.25% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.83% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.36% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.51% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.36% ( ![]() Other @ 2.68% Total : 44.26% | 1-1 @ 12.53% 0-0 @ 7.92% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.96% ( ![]() Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.37% | 0-1 @ 8.79% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.96% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.88% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.57% 2-3 @ 1.84% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.81% Other @ 2.52% Total : 29.36% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 2 | 14 | 12 |
2 | Porto | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 |
3 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 9 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 9 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 |
6 | Braga | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 8 |
7 | Benfica | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
9 | Rio AveRio Ave | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 6 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 |
11 | BoavistaBoavista | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
12 | AVS | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 4 |
13 | Nacional | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 4 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 3 |
15 | Casa Pia | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 3 |
16 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 2 |
17 | Estrela Amadora | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 1 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 0 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |