Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AVS win with a probability of 53.4%. A draw has a probability of 25.5% and a win for Nacional has a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an AVS win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Nacional win it is 0-1 (7.68%).
Result | ||
AVS | Draw | Nacional |
53.4% ( 0) | 25.49% ( 0.01) | 21.1% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 46.04% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.9% ( -0.06) | 56.1% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.83% ( -0.05) | 77.17% ( 0.05) |
AVS Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.95% ( -0.02) | 21.04% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.16% ( -0.03) | 53.84% ( 0.03) |
Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.31% ( -0.05) | 41.69% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.83% ( -0.05) | 78.16% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
AVS | Draw | Nacional |
1-0 @ 13.67% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 10.65% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.32% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.54% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.84% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.16% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.12% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.89% ( -0) Other @ 3.21% Total : 53.39% | 1-1 @ 11.96% 0-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.67% Total : 25.49% | 0-1 @ 7.68% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.36% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.53% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.19% ( -0) 0-3 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 1.15% Total : 21.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 48 | 14 | 34 | 41 |
2 | Porto | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 40 |
3 | Benfica | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 38 | 11 | 27 | 38 |
4 | Braga | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 31 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 17 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 31 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 25 |
7 | Casa Pia | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 24 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 22 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 18 |
13 | Nacional | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 16 |
15 | AVS | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
16 | AroucaArouca | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 28 | -15 | 15 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 14 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 12 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |