Primeira Liga | Gameweek 1
Aug 10, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Clube Desportivo das Aves
FT(HT: 0-1)
Baeza (35')
Ulisses (46')
We said: AVS 2-1 Nacional
Having secured promotion from the Segunda Liga, AVS and Nacional will both be looking to pick up a dream start to life in the big leagues. While both sides are evenly matched on paper, AVS's home advantage gives them a slight upper hand and we fancy them to come away with a narrow victory.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AVS win with a probability of 53.4%. A draw has a probability of 25.5% and a win for Nacional has a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an AVS win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Nacional win it is 0-1 (7.68%).
Result |
AVS | Draw | Nacional |
53.4% ( 0) | 25.49% ( 0.01) | 21.1% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 46.04% ( -0.05) |
43.9% ( -0.06) | 56.1% ( 0.06) |
22.83% ( -0.05) | 77.17% ( 0.05) |
78.95% ( -0.02) | 21.04% ( 0.02) |