Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a SC Farense win with a probability of 37.46%. A win for Nacional has a probability of 35.12% and a draw has a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Farense win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Nacional win is 0-1 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.97%).
Result | ||
SC Farense | Draw | Nacional |
37.46% ( 1.91) | 27.41% ( 0.28) | 35.12% ( -2.19) |
Both teams to score 49.55% ( -0.92) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.95% ( -1.14) | 56.05% ( 1.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.87% ( -0.93) | 77.13% ( 0.93) |
SC Farense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.11% ( 0.6) | 28.88% ( -0.6) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.24% ( 0.74) | 64.75% ( -0.74) |
Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.68% ( -1.9) | 30.32% ( 1.9) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.5% ( -2.33) | 66.5% ( 2.33) |
Score Analysis |
SC Farense | Draw | Nacional |
1-0 @ 10.87% ( 0.64) 2-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 6.75% ( 0.5) 3-1 @ 3.34% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.25) 3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.62% Total : 37.46% | 1-1 @ 12.97% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 8.76% ( 0.38) 2-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.41% | 0-1 @ 10.45% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 7.74% ( -0.36) 0-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.4) 1-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.32) 0-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.3) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.16) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.15) Other @ 2.3% Total : 35.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 20 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 56 | 15 | 41 | 50 |
2 | Benfica | 20 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 46 | 16 | 30 | 44 |
3 | Porto | 20 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 44 | 17 | 27 | 42 |
4 | Braga | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 36 | 20 | 16 | 40 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 20 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 35 |
6 | Casa Pia | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 30 |
7 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 29 |
8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 27 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 20 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 24 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 22 | 34 | -12 | 24 |
11 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 23 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 22 |
13 | AroucaArouca | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 22 |
14 | Nacional | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 19 |
15 | AVS | 20 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 18 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 17 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 28 | -15 | 15 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 20 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 13 | 34 | -21 | 12 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |