MX23RW : Wednesday, February 5 04:37:57| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Farense logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 19
Jan 25, 2025 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio de Sao Luis
Rio Ave

Farense
1 - 2
Rio Ave

Tomane (82' pen.)
Soares (34'), Pastor (50'), Pedro Miranda Oliveira Menino (61'), Poloni (72'), Silva (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bondoso (22'), Clayton (59')
Clayton (37'), Petit (41'), Miszta (62'), Richards (71'), Petrasso (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between SC Farense and Rio Ave, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Moreirense 0-0 Farense
Sunday, January 19 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Rio Ave 0-3 Sporting Lisbon
Saturday, January 18 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: SC Farense 2-1 Rio Ave

While Farense have turned a corner since their stuttering start to the campaign, they have played out three consecutive stalemates in their last three outings, dropping six points from the last nine available. Rio Ave have struggled to impose themselves on the road this season and we predict that Marreco's men will do just enough to come away with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 47.78%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 26.21% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-2 (8.91%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 1-0 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rio Ave would win this match.

Result
SC FarenseDrawRio Ave
26.21% (0.059999999999999 0.06) 26% (0.016000000000002 0.02) 47.78% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Both teams to score 49.9% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.23% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)53.76% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.75% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)75.24% (0.01400000000001 0.01)
SC Farense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.39% (0.037000000000006 0.04)35.6% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.63% (0.039000000000001 0.04)72.37% (-0.041000000000011 -0.04)
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.49% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)22.51% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.92% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)56.07% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    SC Farense 26.21%
    Rio Ave 47.77%
    Draw 26%
SC FarenseDrawRio Ave
1-0 @ 8.28% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.37% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.27% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.19% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.64% (0.002 0)
3-0 @ 1.47% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 26.21%
1-1 @ 12.34% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.01% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.75% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 26%
0-1 @ 11.94% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.2% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.91% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.58% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.43% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.36% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.71% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.65% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 47.77%

How you voted: Farense vs Rio Ave

SC Farense
66.7%
Draw
16.7%
Rio Ave
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Aug 17, 2024 3.30pm
Gameweek 2
Rio Ave
1-0
Farense
Patrick (32')
Freire (40')

Neto (39')
Mar 16, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 26
Farense
1-1
Rio Ave
Isidoro (31')
Matias (22'), Falcao (89')
Boateng (50')
Patrick (60')
Oct 29, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 9
Rio Ave
3-4
Farense
Jorge (33' og.), Pereira (42'), Costinha (62' pen.)
Nobrega (31'), Pereira (47'), Graca (90+5')
Belloumi (4'), Duarte (45+2'), Falcao (89'), Costa (90+3')
Matias (44'), Duarte (57'), Jorge (81')
Dec 13, 2022 8.45pm
Group Stage
Rio Ave
2-1
Farense
Yakubu (30', 73' pen.)
Muscat (62')
Mar 7, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 22
Rio Ave
2-0
Farense
Pele (27' pen.), Camacho (70')
Geraldes (22'), Jeronimo (82')

Miguel Barreto Henriques Marques (25'), Braima Nogueira (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon20162256154150
2Benfica20142446163044
3Porto20133444172742
4Braga20124436201640
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara2011272321235
6Casa Pia208662625130
7Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes207853025529
8Estoril PraiaEstoril207672431-727
9FamalicaoFamalicao205962224-224
10Rio AveRio Ave206682234-1224
11MoreirenseMoreirense206592328-523
12Gil Vicente205782330-722
13AroucaArouca2064101831-1322
14Nacional2054111728-1119
15AVS203981529-1418
16Estrela Amadora2045111833-1517
17SC FarenseFarense2036111328-1515
18BoavistaBoavista2026121334-2112


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!