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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Farense logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 19
Jan 25, 2025 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio de Sao Luis
Rio Ave

Farense
1 - 2
Rio Ave

Tomane (82' pen.)
Soares (34'), Pastor (50'), Pedro Miranda Oliveira Menino (61'), Poloni (72'), Silva (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bondoso (22'), Clayton (59')
Clayton (37'), Petit (41'), Miszta (62'), Richards (71'), Petrasso (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between SC Farense and Rio Ave, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Moreirense 0-0 Farense
Sunday, January 19 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Rio Ave 0-3 Sporting Lisbon
Saturday, January 18 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: SC Farense 2-1 Rio Ave

While Farense have turned a corner since their stuttering start to the campaign, they have played out three consecutive stalemates in their last three outings, dropping six points from the last nine available. Rio Ave have struggled to impose themselves on the road this season and we predict that Marreco's men will do just enough to come away with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 47.78%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 26.21% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-2 (8.91%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 1-0 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rio Ave would win this match.

Result
SC FarenseDrawRio Ave
26.21% (0.059999999999999 0.06) 26% (0.016000000000002 0.02) 47.78% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Both teams to score 49.9% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.23% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)53.76% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.75% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)75.24% (0.01400000000001 0.01)
SC Farense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.39% (0.037000000000006 0.04)35.6% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.63% (0.039000000000001 0.04)72.37% (-0.041000000000011 -0.04)
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.49% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)22.51% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.92% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)56.07% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Score Analysis
    SC Farense 26.21%
    Rio Ave 47.77%
    Draw 26%
SC FarenseDrawRio Ave
1-0 @ 8.28% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.37% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.27% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.19% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.64% (0.002 0)
3-0 @ 1.47% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 26.21%
1-1 @ 12.34% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.01% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.75% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 26%
0-1 @ 11.94% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.2% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.91% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.58% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.43% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.36% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.71% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.65% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 47.77%

How you voted: Farense vs Rio Ave

SC Farense
66.7%
Draw
16.7%
Rio Ave
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Aug 17, 2024 3.30pm
Gameweek 2
Rio Ave
1-0
Farense
Patrick (32')
Freire (40')

Neto (39')
Mar 16, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 26
Farense
1-1
Rio Ave
Isidoro (31')
Matias (22'), Falcao (89')
Boateng (50')
Patrick (60')
Oct 29, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 9
Rio Ave
3-4
Farense
Jorge (33' og.), Pereira (42'), Costinha (62' pen.)
Nobrega (31'), Pereira (47'), Graca (90+5')
Belloumi (4'), Duarte (45+2'), Falcao (89'), Costa (90+3')
Matias (44'), Duarte (57'), Jorge (81')
Dec 13, 2022 8.45pm
Group Stage
Rio Ave
2-1
Farense
Yakubu (30', 73' pen.)
Muscat (62')
Mar 7, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 22
Rio Ave
2-0
Farense
Pele (27' pen.), Camacho (70')
Geraldes (22'), Jeronimo (82')

Miguel Barreto Henriques Marques (25'), Braima Nogueira (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon25185267224559
2Benfica24182456183856
3Porto25155549202950
4Braga25155541221950
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara2512492625140
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes2591153427738
7Casa Pia2510693132-136
8Estoril PraiaEstoril259883340-735
9FamalicaoFamalicao2471072726131
10Rio AveRio Ave247892739-1229
11MoreirenseMoreirense2577113037-728
12AroucaArouca2577112438-1428
13Nacional2575132335-1226
14Gil Vicente2458112436-1223
15Estrela Amadora2558122136-1523
16AVS25411102035-1523
17SC FarenseFarense2538141736-1917
18BoavistaBoavista2536161642-2615


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