Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 46.56%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 29.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 1-2 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.
Result | ||
Nacional | Draw | SC Farense |
46.56% ( 0.15) | 23.87% ( 0.05) | 29.57% ( -0.2) |
Both teams to score 59.27% ( -0.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.38% ( -0.34) | 42.63% ( 0.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.97% ( -0.33) | 65.03% ( 0.34) |
Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.5% ( -0.07) | 18.51% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.27% ( -0.12) | 49.73% ( 0.12) |
SC Farense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.73% ( -0.3) | 27.27% ( 0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.29% ( -0.39) | 62.71% ( 0.39) |
Score Analysis |
Nacional | Draw | SC Farense |
2-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.52% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 7.18% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 5.25% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.04% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.41% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.21% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.48% Total : 46.56% | 1-1 @ 11.06% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.06% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.87% | 1-2 @ 7.19% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.56% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.11% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.97% Total : 29.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 2 | 25 | 24 |
2 | Porto | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 4 | 14 | 21 |
3 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 16 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 15 |
5 | Braga | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 14 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 14 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 11 |
9 | Gil Vicente | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 10 |
10 | AVS | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 9 |
11 | Casa Pia | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 8 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 8 |
13 | AroucaArouca | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 7 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 6 |
15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 6 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 13 | -8 | 5 |
17 | Nacional | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 5 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 13 | -10 | 4 |
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