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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Tondela
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 27
Mar 19, 2022 at 3.30pm UK
Estádio João Cardoso
Arouca

Tondela
2 - 2
Arouca

Quaresma (16'), Agra (45+4')
Sagnan (63')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Silva (4', 69')
Araujo (44'), Esgaio (51'), Simao (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Tondela and Arouca, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Porto 3-1 Tondela
Sunday, May 22 at 5.15pm in Taca de Portugal
Next Game: Porto vs. Tondela
Sunday, July 31 at 8.45pm in Portuguese Super Cup
Last Game: Arouca 0-0 Belenenses
Saturday, May 14 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Tondela 1-2 Arouca

Given the stakes of the game, we expect a thrilling contest with both sides taking the game to each other in search of all three points. While Tondela have managed just one draw from their last six home games, Arouca are unbeaten in three of their last four road games. That said, Arouca head into the game as slight favourites and we are backing them to come away with maximum points, albeit by the odd goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tondela win with a probability of 40.17%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 33.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tondela win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Arouca win was 0-1 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
TondelaDrawArouca
40.17%26.34%33.49%
Both teams to score 52.69%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.04%51.96%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.29%73.7%
Tondela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.56%25.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.74%60.26%
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.66%29.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.69%65.31%
Score Analysis
    Tondela 40.16%
    Arouca 33.49%
    Draw 26.33%
TondelaDrawArouca
1-0 @ 10.21%
2-1 @ 8.58%
2-0 @ 6.99%
3-1 @ 3.91%
3-0 @ 3.19%
3-2 @ 2.4%
4-1 @ 1.34%
4-0 @ 1.09%
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 40.16%
1-1 @ 12.52%
0-0 @ 7.46%
2-2 @ 5.26%
3-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.33%
0-1 @ 9.15%
1-2 @ 7.68%
0-2 @ 5.61%
1-3 @ 3.14%
0-3 @ 2.29%
2-3 @ 2.15%
1-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 33.49%

How you voted: Tondela vs Arouca

Tondela
14.3%
Draw
42.9%
Arouca
42.9%
7
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2021 8.15pm
Arouca
2-0
Tondela
Basso (31' pen.), Bukia (68')
Kouassi (35'), Pite (82'), Oleques (90'), Adilio (90+3')
Pite (90+5')

Dadasov (24'), Sagnan (26'), Barbosa (50'), Khacef (63')
May 13, 2017 4pm
Arouca
1-2
Tondela
Crivellaro (10')
Costa (32'), Jubal (67'), Crivellaro (75'), Santos (89')
Pedro (11', 78')
Osorio (53'), Bruno (70')
Jan 8, 2017 4pm
Tondela
1-2
Arouca
Pite (80')
Jaquite (67'), Monteiro (82'), Murillo (82'), Pite (93')
Gonzalez (5'), Intima (63')
Mar 6, 2016 4pm
Tondela
0-1
Arouca

Lima da Cunha (16'), Nascimento (70')
Mateus (78')
Bastos (8'), Velasquez (25'), Mateus (89')
Oct 25, 2015 4pm
Arouca
1-1
Tondela
Rodrigues (59')
Dabo (13'), Coelho (30'), Bastos (83')
Balde (47')
Nascimento (58'), Menga (78')
Menga (93')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon15121243103337
2Porto1512123692737
3Benfica1411213482635
4Braga1584327161128
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara159061615127
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente154561724-717
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13AVS152761122-1113
14BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
15Nacional14338819-1112
16Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711


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