Russian Premier League | Gameweek 3
Aug 6, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Rostov Arena
Baltika2 - 1Fakel
Cherov (8' og.), Musaev (48')
Musaev (81'), Latyshonok (90+6')
Musaev (81'), Latyshonok (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Yakimov (14')
Bryzgalov (34'), Bozhin (79'), Kvekveskiri (90+3')
Bryzgalov (34'), Bozhin (79'), Kvekveskiri (90+3')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Baltika and Fakel.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Spartak Moscow 2-1 Baltika
Monday, July 31 at 5.30pm in Russian Premier League
Monday, July 31 at 5.30pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Fakel 1-4 Lokomotiv
Sunday, July 30 at 3.30pm in Russian Premier League
Sunday, July 30 at 3.30pm in Russian Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Baltika win with a probability of 42.05%. A win for Fakel had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Baltika win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Fakel win was 0-1 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Baltika would win this match.
Result | ||
Baltika | Draw | Fakel |
42.05% ( -0.08) | 27.81% ( 0.01) | 30.13% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 47.1% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.46% ( -0.01) | 58.54% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.89% ( -0.01) | 79.11% ( 0.01) |
Baltika Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.53% ( -0.05) | 27.47% ( 0.05) |