MX23RW : Monday, September 16 18:53:19| >> :300:86500:86500:
Russian Premier League | Gameweek 3
Aug 6, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Rostov Arena
Fakel

Baltika
2 - 1
Fakel

Cherov (8' og.), Musaev (48')
Musaev (81'), Latyshonok (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Yakimov (14')
Bryzgalov (34'), Bozhin (79'), Kvekveskiri (90+3')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Baltika and Fakel.

Form, Standings, Stats

Baltika

All competitions
Last Game: Spartak Moscow 2-1 Baltika
Monday, July 31 at 5.30pm in Russian Premier League

Fakel

All competitions
Last Game: Fakel 1-4 Lokomotiv
Sunday, July 30 at 3.30pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Baltika win with a probability of 42.05%. A win for Fakel had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Baltika win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Fakel win was 0-1 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Baltika would win this match.

Result
BaltikaDrawFakel
42.05% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08) 27.81% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 30.13% (0.073 0.07)
Both teams to score 47.1% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.46% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)58.54% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.89% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)79.11% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Baltika Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.53% (-0.045999999999992 -0.05)27.47% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.03% (-0.061 -0.06)62.96% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Fakel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.94% (0.051999999999992 0.05)35.05% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.2% (0.055 0.05)71.8% (-0.054999999999993 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Baltika 42.05%
    Fakel 30.13%
    Draw 27.81%
BaltikaDrawFakel
1-0 @ 12.44% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.43% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.04% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.63% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.46% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.9% (-0.002 -0)
4-1 @ 1.17% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.12% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 42.05%
1-1 @ 13.04% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.63% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-2 @ 4.42% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 27.81%
0-1 @ 10.09% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.84% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.29% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.39% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.85% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.54% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 30.13%

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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Zenit St PetersburgZenit86201911820
2FC KrasnodarKrasnodar8530113818
3Lokomotiv MoscowLokomotiv86021912718
4Dynamo Moscow8512158716
5Spartak Moscow8431114715
6CSKA MoscowCSKA84131551013
7RostovRostov83231315-211
8Rubin Kazan83141114-310
9Dynamo MakhachkalaMakhachkala823347-39
10Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov8305813-59
11Akron TolyattiAkron82241013-38
12Nizhny Novgorod8215615-97
13OrenburgOrenburg81341117-66
14KhimkiKhimki8134916-76
15Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny8053614-85
16Fakel8125314-115
> Russian Premier League Full Table


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