Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 40.55%. A win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 33.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Greenock Morton win was 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen of the South would win this match.
