Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 54.62%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 22.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win it was 0-1 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.