MX23RW : Monday, December 23 01:43:39| >> :120:4981:4981:
Dundee United
Scottish Cup | Fifth Round
Feb 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Tannadice Park
Kilmarnock logo

Dundee Utd
0 - 1
Kilmarnock


McMann (30'), Ayina (35')
Ayina (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Vassell (55')
Stokes (52'), Lyons (56'), Doidge (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Cup clash between Dundee United and Kilmarnock, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hearts 3-1 Dundee Utd
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Livingston 3-1 Kilmarnock
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Dundee United 1-0 Kilmarnock

Only three points separates these two teams in the Scottish Premiership, which suggests there is not much to split the sides in this cup clash. However, Kilmarnock's abysmal form away from home this term makes us think Dundee United will edge this contest and seal their place in the next round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 40.12%. A win for Dundee United had a probability of 34.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Dundee United win was 1-0 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Kilmarnock in this match.

Result
Dundee UnitedDrawKilmarnock
34.69% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04) 25.19% (-0.012 -0.01) 40.12% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Both teams to score 56.82% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.25% (0.042999999999999 0.04)46.75% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.99% (0.041 0.04)69.01% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)
Dundee United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.92% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)26.08% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.87% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)61.13% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.87% (0.045000000000002 0.05)23.13% (-0.047999999999998 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.01% (0.064999999999998 0.06)56.99% (-0.068000000000005 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Dundee United 34.69%
    Kilmarnock 40.12%
    Draw 25.18%
Dundee UnitedDrawKilmarnock
1-0 @ 8.11% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.98% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.45% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.57% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.62% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 2.44% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 34.69%
1-1 @ 11.86% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.03% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.84% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.18%
0-1 @ 8.83% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.69% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.47% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 4.24% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.16% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.85% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.55% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.16% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 1.04% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 40.12%

How you voted: Dundee Utd vs Kilmarnock

Dundee United
66.7%
Draw
0.0%
Kilmarnock
33.3%
9
Head to Head
Feb 1, 2023 7.45pm
Nov 9, 2022 7.45pm
Oct 18, 2022 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Kilmarnock
2-1
Dundee Utd
Lafferty (8' pen.), Armstrong (73')
Middleton (10')
Smith (7')
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Kilmarnock
1-1
Dundee Utd
Taylor (90+1')
Power (47'), Taylor (83')
Levitt (43')
Harkes (49')
Harkes (71')
Jan 22, 2022 3pm
Fourth Round
Kilmarnock
1-2
Dundee Utd
McKenzie (20')
McKenzie (108')
McNulty (4'), Levitt (111')
Levitt (90+3'), Butcher (98'), Watt (104')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool16123137162139
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256


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