Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 25
Feb 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Almondvale Stadium
Livingston3 - 1Kilmarnock
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Celtic 3-0 Livingston
Wednesday, February 1 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Wednesday, February 1 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Kilmarnock 1-0 Dundee Utd
Wednesday, February 1 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Wednesday, February 1 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
We said: Livingston 1-0 Kilmarnock
Livingston have recorded three low-scoring draws in their previous three home league games, but Martindale's men should claim all three points this weekend, as Kilmarnock have taken just two points from a possible 36 on the road this season. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 48.84%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 25.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.27%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.32%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 0-1 (8.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Livingston | Draw | Kilmarnock |
48.84% ( -0.02) | 26.01% ( 0) | 25.15% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 48.96% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
