Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 52.6%. A win for Albion Rovers had a probability of 24.64% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.8%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Albion Rovers win was 1-2 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elgin City would win this match.
