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Arbroath
Scottish Premiership Playoffs | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
May 13, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Gayfield Park
Inverness CT

Arbroath
0 - 0
Inverness


Hamilton (55'), Hamilton (73'), Wighton (120')
FT

Carson (27'), Duffy (90+5'), Mckay (115'), Hyde (118'), Deas (120')
Devine (66'), Duffy (113')
Inverness win 5-3 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Scottish Premiership Playoffs clash between Arbroath and Inverness Caledonian Thistle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arbroath

Last Six:
Last Game: Arbroath 0-0 Inverness (3-5 pen.)
Friday, May 13 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership Playoffs
Next Game: St Mirren vs. Arbroath
Saturday, July 9 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

Inverness Caledonian Thistle

Last Six:
Last Game: St Johnstone 4-0 Inverness
Monday, May 23 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership Playoffs
Next Game: Kelty Hearts vs. Inverness
Saturday, July 9 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

We said: Arbroath 2-1 Inverness Caledonian Thistle

 Like the first leg, we expect Friday's contest to be a closely-fought encounter, but with an impressive home record on their side, we think that Arbroath may just edge out Inverness to reach the playoff final. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 44.49%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 28.48% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.

Result
ArbroathDrawInverness Caledonian Thistle
44.49%27.02%28.48%
Both teams to score 48.54%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.7%56.3%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.66%77.33%
Arbroath Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.82%25.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.1%59.89%
Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.87%35.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.12%71.87%
Score Analysis
    Arbroath 44.49%
    Inverness Caledonian Thistle 28.49%
    Draw 27.02%
ArbroathDrawInverness Caledonian Thistle
1-0 @ 12.19%
2-1 @ 8.8%
2-0 @ 8.41%
3-1 @ 4.05%
3-0 @ 3.87%
3-2 @ 2.12%
4-1 @ 1.4%
4-0 @ 1.33%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 44.49%
1-1 @ 12.76%
0-0 @ 8.84%
2-2 @ 4.61%
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.02%
0-1 @ 9.25%
1-2 @ 6.68%
0-2 @ 4.84%
1-3 @ 2.33%
0-3 @ 1.69%
2-3 @ 1.61%
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 28.49%

How you voted: Arbroath vs Inverness

Arbroath
64.4%
Draw
18.6%
Inverness Caledonian Thistle
16.9%
59
Head to Head
May 10, 2022 7.05pm
Inverness
0-0
Arbroath

Broadfoot (39'), McAlear (65')

O'Brien (58'), Henderson (90+3')
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Inverness
3-0
Arbroath
Sutherland (5'), McAlear (11'), Mckay (68')
Doran (55'), Carson (90+3')

Hamilton (42'), O'Brien (55'), Thomson (87')
Jan 2, 2022 3pm
Arbroath
0-0
Inverness

Allardice (12'), Broadfoot (63'), Devine (72')
Oct 26, 2021 7.45pm
Inverness
0-1
Arbroath

Deas (32'), Broadfoot (86')
McKenna (54')
Craigen (85')
Jul 31, 2021 3pm
Arbroath
0-1
Inverness

Hamilton (33'), Swankie (90+4')
Sutherland (66')
Broadfoot (52'), Mckay (81')
rhs 2.0
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