Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 59.57%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Hearts had a probability of 18.74%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for a Hearts win it was 0-1 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.
Result | ||
Aberdeen | Draw | Hearts |
59.57% ( -0.05) | 21.69% ( 0.02) | 18.74% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 53.81% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.12% ( -0.02) | 43.88% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.73% ( -0.02) | 66.27% ( 0.02) |
Aberdeen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.65% ( -0.02) | 14.35% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.79% ( -0.04) | 42.21% ( 0.05) |
Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.83% ( 0.03) | 37.18% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.04% ( 0.03) | 73.96% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Aberdeen | Draw | Hearts |
1-0 @ 10.35% 2-0 @ 10.05% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.95% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.51% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.44% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.19% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.16% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.13% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.23% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.21% ( -0) Other @ 2.81% Total : 59.56% | 1-1 @ 10.24% 0-0 @ 5.34% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.92% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.69% | 0-1 @ 5.28% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.67% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.62% ( 0) Other @ 2.49% Total : 18.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 16 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 44 |
2 | RangersRangers | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
3 | Aberdeen | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31 | 21 | 10 | 34 |
4 | Motherwell | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 26 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 25 |
6 | St Mirren | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 24 |
7 | Dundee | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 19 |
8 | Hibernian | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 18 |
9 | Kilmarnock | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 18 |
10 | Hearts | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Ross County | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 35 | -21 | 15 |
12 | St Johnstone | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 14 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |