Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 72.94%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 10.39%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.22%) and 3-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.91%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (3.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
Result | ||
Atalanta BC | Draw | Empoli |
72.94% ( 4.48) | 16.67% ( -2.05) | 10.39% ( -2.44) |
Both teams to score 48.81% ( -1.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.8% ( 2.92) | 39.19% ( -2.92) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.47% ( 2.99) | 61.52% ( -2.99) |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.65% ( 1.9) | 9.35% ( -1.9) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.49% ( 4.32) | 31.51% ( -4.32) |
Empoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.84% ( -2.31) | 46.16% ( 2.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.15% ( -1.85) | 81.84% ( 1.85) |
Score Analysis |
Atalanta BC | Draw | Empoli |
2-0 @ 12.11% ( 0.34) 1-0 @ 10.22% ( -0.55) 3-0 @ 9.57% ( 1) 2-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.34) 3-1 @ 7.4% ( 0.33) 4-0 @ 5.67% ( 0.99) 4-1 @ 4.39% ( 0.52) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 2.69% ( 0.64) 5-1 @ 2.08% ( 0.39) 4-2 @ 1.7% ( 0.1) 6-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.32) Other @ 3.81% Total : 72.92% | 1-1 @ 7.91% ( -0.98) 0-0 @ 4.32% ( -0.62) 2-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.38) Other @ 0.83% Total : 16.67% | 0-1 @ 3.34% ( -0.73) 1-2 @ 3.06% ( -0.61) 0-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.39) 2-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.17) Other @ 1.77% Total : 10.39% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 50 |
2 | Inter Milan | 20 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 51 | 18 | 33 | 47 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 46 | 24 | 22 | 43 |
4 | Lazio | 21 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 37 | 28 | 9 | 39 |
5 | Juventus | 21 | 8 | 13 | 0 | 34 | 17 | 17 | 37 |
6 | Fiorentina | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 33 | 21 | 12 | 33 |
7 | Bologna | 20 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 33 |
8 | AC Milan | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 31 |
9 | Roma | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 27 |
10 | Udinese | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 26 |
11 | Torino | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 23 |
12 | Genoa | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 23 |
13 | Como | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 22 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 21 |
15 | Empoli | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 20 |
16 | Parma | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 20 |
17 | Lecce | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 36 | -21 | 20 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 21 | 6 | 1 | 14 | 24 | 47 | -23 | 19 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 15 |
20 | Monza | 21 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 13 |
> Serie A Full Table |