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Serie A | Gameweek 11
Nov 4, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani

Empoli
1 - 0
Como

Pellegri (47')
Cacace (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Empoli and Como, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Empoli 0-3 Inter Milan
Wednesday, October 30 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Como 1-5 Lazio
Thursday, October 31 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Empoli 1-1 Como

Despite Empoli's wretched form in front of goal at the Castellani this term, we expect a marginally more attacking approach against a leaky Como. However, the spoils could be shared, with Fabregas's men possessing enough in attack to unpick the home side's rearguard. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 41.96%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 30.37% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (7.96%). The likeliest Empoli win was 1-0 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.

Result
EmpoliDrawComo
30.37% (-0.259 -0.26) 27.66% (-0.445 -0.45) 41.96% (0.699 0.7)
Both teams to score 47.63% (1.149 1.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.08% (1.497 1.5)57.91% (-1.499 -1.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.38% (1.164 1.16)78.62% (-1.167 -1.17)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.46% (0.604 0.6)34.54% (-0.606 -0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.74% (0.638 0.64)71.26% (-0.64100000000001 -0.64)
Como Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.77% (1.094 1.09)27.23% (-1.095 -1.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.35% (1.403 1.4)62.64% (-1.405 -1.41)
Score Analysis
    Empoli 30.37%
    Como 41.96%
    Draw 27.66%
EmpoliDrawComo
1-0 @ 10% (-0.403 -0.4)
2-1 @ 6.91% (0.047 0.05)
2-0 @ 5.31% (-0.128 -0.13)
3-1 @ 2.45% (0.056 0.06)
3-0 @ 1.88% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.59% (0.084 0.08)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 30.37%
1-1 @ 13% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 9.4% (-0.55 -0.55)
2-2 @ 4.5% (0.167 0.17)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 27.66%
0-1 @ 12.23% (-0.32 -0.32)
1-2 @ 8.46% (0.177 0.18)
0-2 @ 7.96% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.67% (0.186 0.19)
0-3 @ 3.45% (0.121 0.12)
2-3 @ 1.95% (0.129 0.13)
1-4 @ 1.19% (0.094 0.09)
0-4 @ 1.12% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 41.96%

How you voted: Empoli vs Como

Empoli
46.2%
Draw
38.5%
Como
15.4%
104
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Packers
31-34
Lions
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli1410222191232
2Atalanta BCAtalanta14101336162031
3Inter Milan1384131141728
4Fiorentina1384127101728
5Lazio1491429171228
6Juventus146802281426
7AC Milan136432314922
8Bologna135621816221
9Udinese145271621-517
10Empoli143741014-416
11Parma143652022-215
12Torino144371620-415
13CagliariCagliari143561524-914
14Genoa143561324-1114
15Roma143471420-613
16Lecce14347722-1513
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1440101733-1612
18Como142571426-1211
19Monza141761217-510
20VeneziaVenezia1422101125-148


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