Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 45.89%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 29.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 0-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.