Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 39.76%. A win for Torino had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Torino win was 1-2 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cagliari would win this match.
Result | ||
Cagliari | Draw | Torino |
39.76% | 24.88% | 35.35% |
Both teams to score 58.01% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.73% | 45.27% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.39% | 67.61% |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.34% | 22.66% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.71% | 56.29% |
Torino Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75% | 25% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.34% | 59.66% |
Score Analysis |
Cagliari | Draw | Torino |
2-1 @ 8.66% 1-0 @ 8.41% 2-0 @ 6.24% 3-1 @ 4.28% 3-0 @ 3.09% 3-2 @ 2.97% 4-1 @ 1.59% 4-0 @ 1.15% 4-2 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.28% Total : 39.76% | 1-1 @ 11.65% 2-2 @ 6% 0-0 @ 5.66% 3-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.88% | 1-2 @ 8.08% 0-1 @ 7.85% 0-2 @ 5.44% 1-3 @ 3.74% 2-3 @ 2.77% 0-3 @ 2.52% 1-4 @ 1.29% 2-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.7% Total : 35.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 23 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 38 | 16 | 22 | 54 |
2 | Inter Milan | 23 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 56 | 22 | 34 | 51 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 23 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 49 | 26 | 23 | 47 |
4 | Fiorentina | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 42 |
5 | Lazio | 23 | 13 | 3 | 7 | 40 | 31 | 9 | 42 |
6 | Juventus | 23 | 9 | 13 | 1 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 40 |
7 | Bologna | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 35 | 27 | 8 | 37 |
8 | AC Milan | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 35 |
9 | Roma | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 31 |
10 | Udinese | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 29 |
11 | Torino | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 27 |
12 | Genoa | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 21 | 32 | -11 | 26 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 23 | 7 | 2 | 14 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 23 |
14 | Lecce | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 23 |
15 | Como | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 22 |
16 | Empoli | 23 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 21 |
17 | CagliariCagliari | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 21 |
18 | Parma | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 29 | 42 | -13 | 20 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 23 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 22 | 38 | -16 | 16 |
20 | Monza | 23 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 20 | 34 | -14 | 13 |
> Serie A Full Table |