Serie A | Gameweek 3
Aug 31, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Bologna1 - 1Empoli
We said: Bologna 1-1 Empoli
Empoli have not won successive Serie A matches since May 2023 - in that case, one win was against Bologna - and that trend may continue this weekend. Nonetheless, the Azzurri will be emboldened by their result against Roma, and leaving the Dall'Ara with a point is well within their compass. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 64.03%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 13.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.55%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Bologna | Draw | Empoli |
64.03% ( -0.08) | 22.35% ( 0.04) | 13.62% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 41.1% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
