Serie A | Gameweek 3
Sep 1, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Fiorentina2 - 2Monza
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Puskas Academy 1-1 Fiorentina (4-5 pen.)
Thursday, August 29 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, August 29 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
We said: Fiorentina 1-1 Monza
Sunday's game will bring together the team with most shots on target after two Serie A matchdays (Fiorentina, 15) and the side with fewest (Monza, three). After a draining 120-minute match in Hungary, though, Raffaele Palladino's men may not be in sufficient shape to record their first league win of the season, with Monza standing firm to frustrate their former manager. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 65.74%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Monza had a probability of 13.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.55%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.76%), while for a Monza win it was 0-1 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Fiorentina | Draw | Monza |
65.74% ( -0.47) | 20.59% ( 0.31) | 13.67% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 46.16% ( -0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
