Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 36.13%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 35.55% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.68%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 1-0 (11.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Genoa would win this match.
Result | ||
Hellas Verona | Draw | Genoa |
35.55% ( -0.13) | 28.32% ( 0.18) | 36.13% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 46.84% ( -0.52) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.57% ( -0.64) | 59.43% ( 0.64) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.2% ( -0.5) | 79.8% ( 0.5) |
Hellas Verona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.25% ( -0.41) | 31.75% ( 0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.82% ( -0.47) | 68.18% ( 0.47) |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.63% ( -0.36) | 31.38% ( 0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.25% ( -0.42) | 67.75% ( 0.42) |
Score Analysis |
Hellas Verona | Draw | Genoa |
1-0 @ 11.42% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 7.6% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 6.56% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.91% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 2.51% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.86% Total : 35.54% | 1-1 @ 13.24% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 9.96% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.31% | 0-1 @ 11.54% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 7.68% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 6.69% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.96% Total : 36.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 50 |
2 | Inter Milan | 20 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 51 | 18 | 33 | 47 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 46 | 24 | 22 | 43 |
4 | Lazio | 21 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 37 | 28 | 9 | 39 |
5 | Juventus | 21 | 8 | 13 | 0 | 34 | 17 | 17 | 37 |
6 | Fiorentina | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 33 | 21 | 12 | 33 |
7 | Bologna | 20 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 33 |
8 | AC Milan | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 31 |
9 | Roma | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 27 |
10 | Udinese | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 26 |
11 | Torino | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 23 |
12 | Genoa | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 23 |
13 | Como | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 22 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 21 |
15 | Empoli | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 20 |
16 | Parma | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 20 |
17 | Lecce | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 36 | -21 | 20 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 21 | 6 | 1 | 14 | 24 | 47 | -23 | 19 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 15 |
20 | Monza | 21 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 13 |
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