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Serie A | Gameweek 30
Mar 30, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
Frosinone logo

Genoa
1 - 1
Frosinone

Gudmundsson (30' pen.)
Retegui (42'), Badelj (45')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Jesus (36')
Zortea (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Genoa and Frosinone, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Juventus 0-0 Genoa
Sunday, March 17 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Frosinone 2-3 Lazio
Saturday, March 16 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Genoa 1-1 Frosinone

Since December, Genoa have drawn the most games in Serie A (eight), and that trend could continue at Marassi: Frosinone are far less effective away from home, but they pose an attacking threat and may have benefited from a break that came as they were free-falling down the table. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 58.18%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Frosinone had a probability of 19.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Frosinone win it was 0-1 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
GenoaDrawFrosinone
58.18% (0.082000000000001 0.08) 22.53% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 19.29% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)
Both teams to score 52.07% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.32% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)46.68% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.05% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)68.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.26% (0.028000000000006 0.03)15.74% (-0.026 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.15% (0.051000000000002 0.05)44.85% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Frosinone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.79% (-0.068000000000005 -0.07)38.2% (0.07 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.03% (-0.064 -0.06)74.96% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Genoa 58.16%
    Frosinone 19.29%
    Draw 22.52%
GenoaDrawFrosinone
1-0 @ 11.11% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.27% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.89%
3-0 @ 6.33% (0.018 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.1% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.93% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-0 @ 2.93% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.82% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.36%
5-0 @ 1.08% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 1.04% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 58.16%
1-1 @ 10.69% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.01% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 4.76% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 22.52%
0-1 @ 5.79% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.15% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.78% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.65% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.53% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 19.29%

How you voted: Genoa vs Frosinone

Genoa
88.6%
Draw
8.6%
Frosinone
2.9%
35
Head to Head
Nov 26, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 13
Frosinone
2-1
Genoa
Soule (34'), Monterisi (90+4')
Oyono (58'), Jesus (66')
Malinovskyi (38')
Vogliacco (6'), Gilardino (22'), Sabelli (29'), Frendrup (90+1')
May 13, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 37
Frosinone
3-2
Genoa
Mazzitelli (29'), Boloca (45+1'), Borrelli (76')
Borrelli (72')
Badelj (14'), Gudmundsson (90+2')
Hefti (56'), Yalcin (86')
Bani (27')
Dec 18, 2022 7.45pm
Mar 3, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 26
Genoa
0-0
Frosinone
Zukanovic (36'), Kouame (74')
Cassata (21'), Viviani (25'), Ciofani (82')
Cassata (34')
Sep 30, 2018 2pm
Gameweek 7
Frosinone
1-2
Genoa
Ciano (41' pen.)
Goldaniga (20'), Hallfredsson (56'), Campbell (61')
Piątek (33', 36')
Sandro (70'), Mazzitelli (84')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Wednesday, June 19
 
2pm
 
5pm
Thursday, June 20
 
2pm
 
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8pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Italy
Friday, June 21
 
2pm
 
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8pm
Saturday, June 22
 
5pm
 
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Sunday, June 23
 
8pm
 
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Monday, June 24
 
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Tuesday, June 25
 
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Wednesday, June 26
 
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Saturday, June 29
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
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Friday, July 5
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Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Germany Germany11003
2 Switzerland Switzerland11003
3 Hungary Hungary10010
4 Scotland flag Scotland10010

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Spain Spain11003
2 Italy Italy11003
3 Albania national flag Albania10010
4 Croatia Croatia10010

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England11003
2 Denmark Denmark10101
3 Slovenia Slovenia10101
4 Serbia Serbia10010

Group D

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1 Netherlands Netherlands11003
2 France France11003
3 Poland Poland10010
4 Austria Austria10010

Group E

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1 Romania Romania11003
2 Slovakia Slovakia11003
3 Belgium Belgium10010
4 Ukraine Ukraine10010

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Turkey Turkey11003
2 Portugal Portugal11003
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic10010
4 Georgia Georgia10010


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