Cesena

2 - 1

Carrarese

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cesena win with a probability of 57.1%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Carrarese had a probability of 18.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cesena win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.73%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for a Carrarese win it was 0-1 (7.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cesena would win this match.