Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 41.22%. A win for Pisa had a probability of 31.42% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Pisa win was 0-1 (9.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Frosinone would win this match.