Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 70.84%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Cosenza Calcio had a probability of 10.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.43%) and 3-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.7%), while for a Cosenza Calcio win it was 0-1 (4.05%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monza would win this match.