Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SPAL win with a probability of 40.87%. A win for Pescara had a probability of 30.43% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a SPAL win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.08%) and 0-2 (8%). The likeliest Pescara win was 1-0 (10.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for SPAL in this match.