Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 51.77%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Pordenone Calcio had a probability of 23.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.79%) and 1-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%), while for a Pordenone Calcio win it was 1-0 (7.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Lecce in this match.