Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Young Boys win with a probability of 63.74%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Lugano had a probability of 17.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Young Boys win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.77%) and 1-0 (7.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.51%), while for a Lugano win it was 1-2 (4.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Young Boys would win this match.