Taca de Portugal | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
Apr 17, 2024 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio Do Dragao
Porto3 - 1Guimaraes
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Porto 2-2 Famalicao
Saturday, April 13 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, April 13 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 1-1 Farense
Saturday, April 13 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, April 13 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
45
We said: Porto 1-1 Vitoria de Guimaraes
While Porto are the favourites heading into this contest, they have not been at their best lately and are missing a few important players due to their poor disciplinary record. Vitoria will be full of belief after beating Os Dragoes at this venue less than a fortnight ago, and we feel they will avoid defeat here, but the hosts will be the ones to progress on aggregate. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 64.2%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 15.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.18%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 0-1 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
64.2% ( 1.82) | 20.51% ( -0.6) | 15.3% ( -1.21) |
| Both teams to score 50.48% ( -0.79) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.32% ( 0.36) | 44.69% ( -0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.95% ( 0.35) | 67.05% ( -0.33) |
| Porto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.8% ( 0.66) | 13.2% ( -0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 60.07% ( 1.31) | 39.94% ( -1.3) |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.16% ( -1.36) | 41.84% ( 1.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.71% ( -1.21) | 78.3% ( 1.22) |
| Score Analysis |
Porto 64.19%
Vitoria de Guimaraes 15.3%
Draw 20.51%
| Porto | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
| 2-0 @ 11.32% ( 0.37) 1-0 @ 11.18% ( 0.1)2-1 @ 9.87% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 7.64% ( 0.43)3-1 @ 6.66% ( 0.13)4-0 @ 3.87% ( 0.3)4-1 @ 3.37% ( 0.15)3-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 1.57% ( 0.16)4-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.37% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.98% Total : 64.19% | 1-1 @ 9.75% ( -0.28) 0-0 @ 5.52% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.18)Other @ 0.94% Total : 20.51% | 0-1 @ 4.81% ( -0.26) 1-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.29)0-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.2)2-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.13)Other @ 1.66% Total : 15.3% |
How you voted: Porto vs Guimaraes
Porto
63.3%Draw
23.3%Vitoria de Guimaraes
13.3%60
