Guimaraes0 - 1Porto
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, March 30 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, March 30 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 1-2 Porto
This first leg encounter will likely be a tight affair with both sides looking to be cautious ahead of the return leg. Porto, the favorites, will control possession but Vitoria will aim for counter-attacks. We expect a cagey affair but Porto have enough quality to edge it. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 43.26%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.59%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Porto in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Porto.
| Result | ||
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Porto |
30.76% ( 0.07) | 25.98% ( -0.35) | 43.26% ( 0.29) |
| Both teams to score 52.87% ( 1.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
