Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 3
Sep 19, 2020 at 2.30pm UK
Jenner Park
Barry3 - 1Caernarfon
McLaggon (38', 62'), McDonald (55')
Cummings (10'), Green (45'), Cotterill (45+1')
Cummings (10'), Green (45'), Cotterill (45+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hayes (66')
(33')
(33')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Barry Town United and Caernarfon Town.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barry Town United win with a probability of 38.89%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 36.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barry Town United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-2 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barry Town United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barry Town United | Draw | Caernarfon Town |
| 38.89% | 25.05% | 36.06% |
| Both teams to score 57.51% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
