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Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 5
Sep 30, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Deeside Stadium

Connah's Quay
2 - 0
Aberystwyth

Disney (9' pen.), Edwards (27')
Holmes (10')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Connah's Quay Nomads and Aberystwyth Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 59.28%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Aberystwyth Town had a probability of 18.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.64%), while for an Aberystwyth Town win it was 0-1 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.

Result
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawAberystwyth Town
59.28%22.39%18.33%
Both teams to score 50.79%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.47%47.53%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.26%69.74%
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.34%15.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.3%44.71%
Aberystwyth Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.23%39.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.56%76.45%
Score Analysis
    Connah's Quay Nomads 59.28%
    Aberystwyth Town 18.33%
    Draw 22.38%
Connah's Quay NomadsDrawAberystwyth Town
1-0 @ 11.55%
2-0 @ 10.7%
2-1 @ 9.87%
3-0 @ 6.62%
3-1 @ 6.1%
4-0 @ 3.07%
4-1 @ 2.83%
3-2 @ 2.81%
4-2 @ 1.3%
5-0 @ 1.14%
5-1 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 59.28%
1-1 @ 10.64%
0-0 @ 6.23%
2-2 @ 4.55%
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 22.38%
0-1 @ 5.74%
1-2 @ 4.91%
0-2 @ 2.65%
1-3 @ 1.51%
2-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 18.33%

Head to Head
Oct 25, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Aberystwyth
1-1
Connah's Quay
Jones (90' pen.)
Insall (38')
Holmes (48'), Disney (63'), Insall (75'), Roberts (83'), Owen (89'), Brass (90')
Sep 13, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Connah's Quay
4-1
Aberystwyth
Morris (12'), Wignall (25'), Bakare (46'), Poole (85')
Bakare (41'), Poole (72'), Brass (78')
Horan (59')
Phillips (86')
Jan 4, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Aberystwyth
1-6
Connah's Quay
Ahmadi (38')
Jenkins (69')
Morris (14' pen.), Owens (32'), Wilde (65'), Bakare (79'), Parker (90'), Hughes (90')
Aug 24, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Connah's Quay
2-1
Aberystwyth
Bakare (37'), Wilde (44')
Hughes (41')
Baynes (90')
Jones (40'), Walker (60'), Williams (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont18124235122340
2The New SaintsNew Saints18130550222839
3Cardiff MUCardiff MU199462922731
4Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest188642091130
5Bala TownBala Town1961032619728
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon198472830-228
7Barry Town UnitedBarry198473035-528
8Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay186572419523
9Newtown AFCNewtown185492238-1619
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town1952122337-1417
11Briton Ferry1842122338-1514
12Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1941141746-2913
> Welsh Premier League Full Table


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