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Wolves logo
Premier League | Gameweek 28
Mar 5, 2022 at 3pm UK
Molineux
Crystal Palace logo

Wolves
0 - 2
Crystal Palace

FT(HT: 0-2)
Mateta (19'), Zaha (34' pen.)
Gallagher (53'), Guaita (88'), Hughes (90')

Preview: Wolverhampton Wanderers vs. Crystal Palace - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Wolverhampton Wanderers and Crystal Palace, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Wolverhampton Wanderers will be looking to move into the Premier League's top seven with a victory at home against Crystal Palace on Saturday afternoon.

The visitors, meanwhile, could sneak into the top half of the table on goal difference if they were to claim maximum points at Molineux.


Match preview

Wolverhampton Wanderers' Hwang Hee-Chan celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on February 24, 2022© Reuters

Wolves' slim hopes of qualifying for the Champions League have been dealt a blow over the last week after they suffered back-to-back defeats in London away at Arsenal and West Ham United.

Bruno Lage's men, who registered only one of their 14 shots on target, were condemned to their 10th league defeat of the season by the Hammers when Tomas Soucek tapped in from close range on the hour mark.

The Wanderers have now slipped out of the European places and down to eighth, seven points behind Manchester United in fourth with a game in hand on the Red Devils, though both Arsenal and Tottenham Hotspur in sixth and seventh place respectively have played at least a game less than Lage's side.

Wolves will fancy their chances of returning to winning ways against a team in the bottom half of the table; however, they have lost their last two league matches against Saturday's opponents Crystal Palace without scoring.

The Wanderers – who have only netted 10 times at Molineux this season, with only Norwich City having scored fewer on home soil – could secure successive home league wins for the first time since November if they were to claim maximum points this weekend.

Crystal Palace's Cheikhou Kouyate celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on March 1, 2022© Reuters

Crystal Palace followed up their 1-1 draw at home against Burnley in the Premier League last weekend with a 2-1 victory against Championship outfit Stoke City in the fifth round of the FA Cup on Tuesday.

Cheikhou Kouyate's 53rd-minute opener was cancelled out just five minutes later by Josh Tymon; however, substitute Jairo Riedewald scored an 82nd-minute winner for the Eagles with a drilled effort into the bottom-left corner, to secure their place in the quarter-finals for the second time in the last four years.

Patrick Vieira's men have made themselves difficult to beat in recent weeks, losing only one of their last seven games across all competitions; however, in the Premier League they have won just one of their last eight, a 4-1 win at Watford being their only success since the turn of the year.

Palace, who are undefeated in their last four league games on the road, head to Molineux on Saturday having already beaten Wolves this season, with goals from Wilfried Zaha and Conor Gallagher securing a 2-0 win at Selhurst Park in November. However, the Eagles have lost their last three visits at the Wanderers without scoring.

With challenging fixtures against Manchester City and Arsenal either side of an encounter against a resurgent Newcastle United outfit to come, Vieira will be keen for his team to come away with at least a point against Wolves to keep spirits high and boost their hopes of finishing in the top half for the first time since 2014-15.

Wolverhampton Wanderers Premier League form:
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • L

Wolverhampton Wanderers form (all competitions):
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • L

Crystal Palace Premier League form:
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • D

Crystal Palace form (all competitions):
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • W


Team News

Wolverhampton Wanderers' Nelson Semedo with the medical team after sustaining an injury on February 24, 2022© Reuters

Wolves right wing-back Nelson Semedo is sidelined with a hamstring injury, so Ki-Jana Hoever, who started against West Ham, is set to retain his place in the first XI.

Lage made five changes to his starting lineup last weekend, with Raul Jimenez, Daniel Podence and Joao Moutinho all dropping to the bench; however the trio are expected to return on Saturday at the expense of Fabio Silva, Francisco Trincao and Leander Dendoncker respectively.

Fernando Marcal will be battling to keep his place at left wing-back ahead of Rayan Ait-Nouri, while Pedro Neto will be pushing to start his first game of the season, after coming off the bench three times since recovering from a knee injury.

As for Crystal Palace, they will still be without Nathan Ferguson due to a hamstring injury, while Joel Ward's groin problem will be assessed ahead of kickoff.

Eighteen-year-old Tayo Adaramola started his first senior game for the Eagles in midweek, but the left-back is set to be replaced by Tyrick Mitchell, joining Nathaniel Clyne, Joachim Andersen and Marc Guehi in the back four.

Wilfried Zaha, who started against Burnley as a central striker, and Michael Olise are set to play on the flanks, with Odsonne Edouard, Christian Benteke and Jean-Philippe Mateta all competing to start as the lone striker.

Gallagher and Luka Milivojevic both began on the bench in midweek but the midfield pair will likely replace Kouyate and Will Hughes in the first XI.

Wolverhampton Wanderers possible starting lineup:
Sa; Kilman, Coady, Saiss; Hoever, Moutinho, Neves, Marcal; Podence, Jimenez, Hee-Chan

Crystal Palace possible starting lineup:
Butland; Clyne, Andersen, Guehi, Mitchell; McArthur, Milivojevic, Gallagher; Olise, Edouard, Zaha


SM words green background

We say: Wolverhampton Wanderers 1-1 Crystal Palace

Wolves have not drawn any of their last 10 Premier League matches, but they could be forced to share the spoils against a Crystal Palace side who have already drawn 12 times this season, the joint-most in the division.

A tight encounter is expected at Molineux and as both teams have been difficult to break down in recent weeks, we could see a low-scoring draw played out this weekend.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 2.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolverhampton Wanderers win with a probability of 42.44%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 29.68% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 0-1 (10.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Wolves vs Crystal Palace

Wolverhampton Wanderers
57.9%
Draw
27.9%
Crystal Palace
14.3%
140
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Crystal Palace's Wilfried Zaha pictured in July 2021
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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Fulham104331413115
10Bournemouth104331312115
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
12Brentford104151920-113
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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