Women's Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 9, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Sportpark Aschheim
Bayern Munich5 - 2Arsenal
Perla Viggosdottir (43'), Lohmann (58'), Mosegaard-Harder (73', 78', 87')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bayern Munich 2-2 PSG
Tuesday, January 30 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Tuesday, January 30 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Arsenal 0-0 Everton
Sunday, October 6 at 2pm in Women's Super League
Sunday, October 6 at 2pm in Women's Super League
We said: Bayern Munich Women 2-1 Arsenal Women
Arsenal fell to a narrow defeat in their most recent European away game against Hacken, and we think that they may suffer a similar fate in Wednesday's fixture, especially as Bayern have won all seven of their competitive matches this season. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 38.63%. A win for Bayern Munich Women had a probability of 36.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.27%) and 0-2 (6.03%). The likeliest Bayern Munich Women win was 2-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bayern Munich Women would win this match.
Result | ||
Bayern Munich Women | Draw | Arsenal Women |
36.46% ( 0.22) | 24.91% ( -0.02) | 38.63% ( -0.21) |
Both teams to score 58.06% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.74% ( 0.1) | 45.26% ( -0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.4% ( 0.1) | 67.6% ( -0.1) |
Bayern Munich Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.62% ( 0.17) | 24.38% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.21% ( 0.24) | 58.78% ( -0.24) |
Arsenal Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.77% ( -0.06) | 23.23% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.86% ( -0.09) | 57.14% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Bayern Munich Women 36.46%
Arsenal Women 38.63%
Draw 24.9%
Bayern Munich Women | Draw | Arsenal Women |
2-1 @ 8.24% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.88% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.65% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.37% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.93% Total : 36.46% | 1-1 @ 11.66% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.01% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.66% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.9% | 1-2 @ 8.52% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 4.14% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.93% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 2.16% Total : 38.63% |
How you voted: Bayern Munich vs Arsenal
Bayern Munich Women
63.6%Draw
14.5%Arsenal Women
21.8%55
Head to Head
Mar 29, 2023 8pm
Mar 21, 2023 5.45pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2025-01-22 11:27:04
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 21 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 50 | 20 | 30 | 50 |
2 | Arsenal | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 43 | 21 | 22 | 44 |
3 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 44 |
4 | Chelsea | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 44 | 27 | 17 | 40 |
5 | Manchester CityMan City | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 38 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 38 |
7 | Bournemouth | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 37 |
8 | Aston Villa | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 36 |
9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 22 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 34 |
10 | Fulham | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 33 |
11 | Brentford | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 28 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 27 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 26 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 27 | 43 | -16 | 26 |
15 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 45 | 35 | 10 | 24 |
16 | Everton | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
17 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 16 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 22 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 43 | -23 | 16 |
19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 22 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 23 | 48 | -25 | 14 |
20 | Southampton | 22 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 50 | -35 | 6 |
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