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Women's Champions League | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 22, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Wheatsheaf Park

Chelsea Women
0 - 1
Barcelona


Kerr (37'), James (71')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Graham Hansen (4')
Pilar Leon (41'), Walsh (63'), Panos (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Women's Champions League clash between Chelsea Women and Barcelona Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea Women

All competitions
Women's Champions League
Last Game: Aston Villa 0-1 Chelsea Women
Sunday, April 16 at 2.15pm in Women's FA Cup

Barcelona Women

All competitions
Last Game: Barcelona 5-1 Roma
Wednesday, March 29 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League

We said: Chelsea Women 1-1 Barcelona Women

 Chelsea have not lost a competitive home game since March 2022, while Barcelona have only suffered one competitive defeat all season. With both teams proving tough to beat, we think a cagey encounter will produce a draw, which would leave the tie finely poised ahead of the second leg. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona Women win with a probability of 64.96%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Chelsea Women had a probability of 16.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.55%) and 1-3 (7.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for a Chelsea Women win it was 2-1 (4.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona Women would win this match.

Result
Chelsea WomenDrawBarcelona Women
16.59% (0.069000000000003 0.07) 18.45% (0.050000000000001 0.05) 64.96% (-0.116 -0.12)
Both teams to score 61.1% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.67% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)32.33% (0.101 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.05% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)53.95% (0.11799999999999 0.12)
Chelsea Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.44% (0.017999999999986 0.02)32.56% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.91% (0.018000000000001 0.02)69.09% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Barcelona Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.6% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)9.4% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.38% (-0.12700000000001 -0.13)31.62% (0.129 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Chelsea Women 16.59%
    Barcelona Women 64.96%
    Draw 18.45%
Chelsea WomenDrawBarcelona Women
2-1 @ 4.56% (0.017 0.02)
1-0 @ 3.43% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.02% (0.004 0)
2-0 @ 1.93% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.7% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 16.59%
1-1 @ 8.12% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.39% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.06% (0.017 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.59% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 18.45%
1-2 @ 9.6% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 8.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 7.57% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.24% (0.021 0.02)
0-3 @ 6.74% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-4 @ 4.47% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 4.25% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 3.99% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
2-4 @ 2.51% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-5 @ 2.12% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.89% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-5 @ 1.19% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
3-4 @ 0.94% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 64.96%

How you voted: Chelsea Women vs Barcelona

Chelsea Women
25.0%
Draw
16.7%
Barcelona Women
58.3%
12
Head to Head
May 16, 2021 8pm
Final
Chelsea Women
0-4
Barcelona

Ingle (38')
Leupolz (1' og.), Putellas (14' pen.), Bonmati (21'), Graham Hansen (36')
Ouahabi (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool16123137162139
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256
> Premier League Full Table


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