Barcelona5 - 1Roma
Form, Standings, Stats
We said: Barcelona Women 3-0 Roma Women
Roma gave a great account of themselves in the first leg, but facing Barcelona at Camp Nou represents an entirely different proposition, and we think that the hosts will make full use of the home advantage to claim a comfortable victory. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona Women win with a probability of 83.18%. A draw had a probability of 11.5% and a win for Roma Women had a probability of 5.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.15%) and 1-0 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.46%), while for a Roma Women win it was 0-1 (1.92%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona Women would win this match.
Result | ||
Barcelona Women | Draw | Roma Women |
83.18% ( 4.37) | 11.49% ( -2.01) | 5.34% ( -2.36) |
Both teams to score 42.9% ( -6.27) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.09% ( -0.25) | 32.9% ( 0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.39% ( -0.29) | 54.61% ( 0.29) |
Barcelona Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.21% ( 0.78) | 5.79% ( -0.78) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
77.7% ( 2.17) | 22.29% ( -2.17) |
Roma Women Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
45.53% ( -7.09) | 54.46% ( 7.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
12.44% ( -4.79) | 87.56% ( 4.79) |
Score Analysis |
Barcelona Women | Draw | Roma Women |
2-0 @ 12.8% ( 1.27) 3-0 @ 12.15% ( 1.69) 1-0 @ 8.99% ( 0.51) 4-0 @ 8.66% ( 1.53) 2-1 @ 7.78% ( -0.84) 3-1 @ 7.39% ( -0.44) 4-1 @ 5.26% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 4.93% ( 1.05) 5-1 @ 3% ( 0.1) 6-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.58) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.68) 4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.39) 6-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.11) 7-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.27) 5-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.17) Other @ 2.76% Total : 83.17% | 1-1 @ 5.46% ( -0.87) 0-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.86) Other @ 0.51% Total : 11.49% | 0-1 @ 1.92% ( -0.41) 1-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.71) Other @ 1.76% Total : 5.34% |
How you voted: Barcelona vs Roma
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 16 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
2 | Chelsea | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 35 |
3 | Arsenal | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 33 |
4 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 31 |
5 | Bournemouth | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 28 |
6 | Aston Villa | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 28 |
7 | Manchester CityMan City | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 27 |
8 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 26 |
9 | Fulham | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 25 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 25 |
11 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 39 | 25 | 14 | 23 |
12 | Brentford | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 23 |
13 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 22 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 20 |
15 | Everton | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 16 |
16 | Crystal Palace | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 16 |
17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 14 |
18 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 12 |
19 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 12 |
20 | Southampton | 17 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 36 | -25 | 6 |
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