Gambia

5 - 1

Seychelles

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gambia win with a probability of 72.26%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Seychelles had a probability of 9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gambia win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.3%) and 3-0 (10.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.49%), while for a Seychelles win it was 0-1 (4.18%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gambia would win this match.