Liechtenstein

1 - 4

Iceland

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iceland win with a probability of 41%. A win for Liechtenstein had a probability of 33.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Iceland win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Liechtenstein win was 1-0 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Iceland would win this match.