Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 48.65%. A win for Greuther Furth had a probability of 27.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.68%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Greuther Furth win was 2-1 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamburger SV would win this match.