Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 51.26%. A win for Greuther Furth had a probability of 26.04% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.2%) and 0-2 (7.61%). The likeliest Greuther Furth win was 2-1 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.