Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 51.56%. A win for Haka had a probability of 24.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (8.95%). The likeliest Haka win was 0-1 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ilves in this match.
