Australian A-League | Gameweek 7
Dec 7, 2024 at 4am UK
Mount Smart Stadium
Auckland FC2 - 1Wellington
FT(HT: 1-0)
Barbarouses (82')
Ishige (17'), Sutton (43'), Retre (50'), Barbarouses (67'), Rufer (78'), Italiano (88')
Ishige (17'), Sutton (43'), Retre (50'), Barbarouses (67'), Rufer (78'), Italiano (88')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Auckland FC and Wellington Phoenix.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Auckland FC 2-0 Newcastle Jets
Saturday, November 30 at 4am in Australian A-League
Saturday, November 30 at 4am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Wellington 1-0 Victory
Sunday, November 24 at 2.30am in Australian A-League
Sunday, November 24 at 2.30am in Australian A-League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auckland FC win with a probability of 37.69%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 36.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auckland FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 0-1 (8.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Auckland FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Auckland FC | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
37.69% ( 1.4) | 25.77% ( 0.37) | 36.53% ( -1.77) |
| Both teams to score 55.01% ( -1.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
