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Wellington Phoenix
Australian A-League | Gameweek 5
Nov 24, 2024 at 2.30am UK
Allianz Stadium
Melbourne Victory

Wellington
1 - 0
Victory

Barbarouses (82')
Rufer (62')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Bos (30')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Melbourne Victory.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions
Last Game: Central Coast 0-3 Wellington
Sunday, November 10 at 5am in Australian A-League

Melbourne Victory

All competitions
Australian A-League
Last Game: Victory 2-0 Brisbane Roar
Saturday, November 9 at 6am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 49.22%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 26.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.54%) and 0-2 (8.21%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-0 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Wellington PhoenixDrawMelbourne Victory
26.55% (-1.643 -1.64) 24.22% (-0.32 -0.32) 49.22% (1.962 1.96)
Both teams to score 55.76% (-0.27 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.79% (0.256 0.26)46.21% (-0.256 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.5% (0.241 0.24)68.5% (-0.241 -0.24)
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.7% (-1.11 -1.11)31.3% (1.109 1.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.35% (-1.306 -1.31)67.65% (1.307 1.31)
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.16% (0.902 0.9)18.84% (-0.903 -0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.72% (1.487 1.49)50.28% (-1.488 -1.49)
Score Analysis
    Wellington Phoenix 26.55%
    Melbourne Victory 49.23%
    Draw 24.22%
Wellington PhoenixDrawMelbourne Victory
1-0 @ 6.85% (-0.289 -0.29)
2-1 @ 6.64% (-0.295 -0.3)
2-0 @ 3.98% (-0.296 -0.3)
3-1 @ 2.57% (-0.198 -0.2)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-0 @ 1.54% (-0.166 -0.17)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 26.55%
1-1 @ 11.43% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-0 @ 5.9% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.54% (-0.083 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.22%
0-1 @ 9.84% (0.172 0.17)
1-2 @ 9.54% (0.147 0.15)
0-2 @ 8.21% (0.37 0.37)
1-3 @ 5.31% (0.229 0.23)
0-3 @ 4.57% (0.329 0.33)
2-3 @ 3.08% (0.041 0.04)
1-4 @ 2.22% (0.155 0.16)
0-4 @ 1.91% (0.187 0.19)
2-4 @ 1.29% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 49.23%

Head to Head
May 18, 2024 7.30am
Wellington
1-2
Victory
Zawada (90+9')
Salas (90+1')
Traore (82'), Ikonomidis (102')
Arzani (30'), Chapman (97')
> Preview
May 12, 2024 7am
Victory
0-0
Wellington
Arzani (88')
Ball (41'), Pennington (52'), Rufer (90+5')
Apr 12, 2024 8am
Gameweek 24
Wellington
1-0
Victory
Surman (90+5' og.)
Payne (31'), Ball (65')

Monge (34'), Da Silva (90+1')
Jan 19, 2024 6am
Gameweek 13
Wellington
1-1
Victory
Rufer (90+5' pen.)
Payne (45+8')
Chapman (79')
Traore (36')
Nov 10, 2023 8.45am
Gameweek 4
Victory
1-1
Wellington
Teague (14')
Geria (83')
Da Silva (41' og.)
Pennington (8'), Surman (18'), Kelly-Heald (45+4'), Payne (89')
rhs 2.0
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