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Adelaide United
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Newcastle Jets
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Sydney FC
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Central Coast Mariners
Australian A-League | Gameweek 7
Dec 11, 2022 at 4am UK
Central Coast Stadium
Newcastle Jets

Central Coast
1 - 2
Newcastle Jets

Cummings (53')
N'Kololo (50'), Triantis (60')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Buhagiar (12'), Mikeltadze (66')
Stynes (17'), Buhagiar (41'), Mikeltadze (68'), Hoffman (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Australian A-League clash between Central Coast Mariners and Newcastle Jets, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Central Coast 2-3 Macarthur
Sunday, November 13 at 4am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 1-2 Melbourne City
Saturday, November 12 at 6am in Australian A-League

We said: Central Coast Mariners 2-1 Newcastle Jets

Both teams are separated by just one point heading into Sunday's clash, which could easily swing either way. That said, we are backing the hosts to see off the threat of their visitors and come away with all three points in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 55.84%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 22.31% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.63%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (5.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Central Coast MarinersDrawNewcastle Jets
55.84% (1.156 1.16) 21.85% (-0.453 -0.45) 22.31% (-0.701 -0.7)
Both teams to score 59.05% (0.639 0.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.35% (1.275 1.28)39.65% (-1.272 -1.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38% (1.314 1.31)62% (-1.311 -1.31)
Central Coast Mariners Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.89% (0.806 0.81)14.11% (-0.805 -0.81)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.25% (1.558 1.56)41.75% (-1.556 -1.56)
Newcastle Jets Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.76% (0.099000000000004 0.1)31.24% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.41% (0.114 0.11)67.59% (-0.113 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Central Coast Mariners 55.84%
    Newcastle Jets 22.31%
    Draw 21.84%
Central Coast MarinersDrawNewcastle Jets
2-1 @ 9.83% (0.016 0.02)
1-0 @ 8.63% (-0.262 -0.26)
2-0 @ 8.45% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.42% (0.192 0.19)
3-0 @ 5.52% (0.15 0.15)
3-2 @ 3.73% (0.121 0.12)
4-1 @ 3.14% (0.18 0.18)
4-0 @ 2.7% (0.148 0.15)
4-2 @ 1.83% (0.11 0.11)
5-1 @ 1.23% (0.104 0.1)
5-0 @ 1.06% (0.087 0.09)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 55.84%
1-1 @ 10.04% (-0.28 -0.28)
2-2 @ 5.72% (0.024 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.41% (-0.266 -0.27)
3-3 @ 1.45% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 21.84%
1-2 @ 5.84% (-0.145 -0.15)
0-1 @ 5.13% (-0.295 -0.3)
0-2 @ 2.98% (-0.163 -0.16)
1-3 @ 2.27% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.22% (0.015 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.16% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 22.31%

How you voted: Central Coast vs Newcastle Jets

Central Coast Mariners
66.7%
Draw
0.0%
Newcastle Jets
33.3%
9
Head to Head
May 7, 2022 10.45am
Central Coast
2-0
Newcastle Jets
Cummings (30'), N'Kololo (62')
Balard (49'), Urena (66')

Regan (8')
Apr 23, 2022 10.45am
Newcastle Jets
2-4
Central Coast
Mauragis (46'), Farrell (50' og.)
Jurman (22'), Elsey (55'), Penha (90+4')
Penha (90+6')
Moresche (19'), Cummings (30', 34'), Kuol (90+1')
Miller (69'), Birighitti (90+1')
Nov 21, 2021 5.05am
Newcastle Jets
1-2
Central Coast
Yuel (78')
Penha (32')
Nisbet (50'), Farrell (57')
N'Kololo (21'), Farrell (49'), Birighitti (90+3')
Jun 1, 2021 10.05am
Central Coast
0-2
Newcastle Jets

Stensness (62')
O'Donovan (27'), Mauragis (33')
Mauragis (60'), Hoffman (85'), Topor-Stanley (86'), O'Doherty (88')
May 15, 2021 10.10am
Newcastle Jets
0-1
Central Coast

Yuel (84'), O'Donovan (88'), Krasniqi (88')
Simon (54' pen.)
Tongyik (16'), Stensness (45+1'), Kuol (90+5')
rhs 2.0
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