Australian A-League | Gameweek 5

Nov 4, 2022 at 8.45am UK

AAMI Park

Victory
4 - 0
Newcastle Jets

Brimmer (16' pen.), Ikonomidis (50'), D'Agostino (54'), Fornaroli (89' pen.)
D'Agostino (7')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Thurgate (18'), O'Neill (23'), Sotirio (62'), Natta (88')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Live Updates

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Newcastle Jets.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne Victory

All competitions

Australian A-League

Last Game: Brisbane Roar 0-0 Victory
Saturday, October 29 at 5am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Newcastle Jets

All competitions

Last Game: Western Sydney 2-0 Newcastle Jets
Friday, October 28 at 9.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 49.09%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 27.22% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne Victory would win this match.

Result
Melbourne Victory	Draw	Newcastle Jets
49.09% ( 0.42)	23.69% ( -0.45)	27.22% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 58.14% (

1.58)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.66% (

2.07)

43.34% (

-2.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.26% (

65.74% (

-2)

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.22% (

0.96)

17.78% (

-0.96)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.51% (

1.63)

48.5% (

-1.63)

Newcastle Jets Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.71% (

1.11)

29.29% (

-1.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.74% (

1.34)

65.26% (

-1.33)

Score Analysis

Melbourne Victory 49.09%

Newcastle Jets 27.22%

Draw 23.68%

Melbourne Victory	Draw	Newcastle Jets
2-1 @ 9.54% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 9% ( -0.54) 2-0 @ 7.77% ( -0.22) 3-1 @ 5.49% ( 0.18) 3-0 @ 4.47% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.37% ( 0.21) 4-1 @ 2.37% ( 0.15) 4-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.46% ( 0.13) Other @ 3.71% Total : 49.09%	1-1 @ 11.04% ( -0.31) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 5.21% ( -0.49) 3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.13) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.68%	1-2 @ 6.78% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.4% ( -0.39) 0-2 @ 3.93% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.15) 0-3 @ 1.61% ( 0) Other @ 3.33% Total : 27.22%