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Adelaide United
Brisbane Roar
Central Coast Mariners
Macarthur
Melbourne City
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle Jets
Perth Glory
Sydney FC
Wellington Phoenix
Western Sydney Wanderers
Western United
Newcastle Jets
Australian A-League | Gameweek 3
Oct 22, 2022 at 7am UK
McDonald Jones Stadium
Wellington Phoenix

Newcastle Jets
3 - 1
Wellington

McGarry (4'), Dartsmelia (16'), Buhagiar (44')
Piscopo (59'), O'Neill (81')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Kraev (39')
Payne (11'), Ugarkovic (80')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Newcastle Jets and Wellington Phoenix.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle Jets

All competitions
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 2-1 Perth Glory
Saturday, October 15 at 7am in Australian A-League

Wellington Phoenix

All competitions
Last Game: Wellington 2-2 Central Coast
Sunday, October 16 at 3am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 53.37%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 23.85% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (6.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle Jets would win this match.

Result
Newcastle JetsDrawWellington Phoenix
53.37% (1.06 1.06) 22.78% (-0.365 -0.37) 23.85% (-0.695 -0.7)
Both teams to score 57.8% (0.439 0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.79% (0.951 0.95)42.21% (-0.95099999999999 -0.95)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.38% (0.94600000000001 0.95)64.61% (-0.946 -0.95)
Newcastle Jets Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.19% (0.714 0.71)15.81% (-0.714 -0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.03% (1.301 1.3)44.97% (-1.3 -1.3)
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.66% (-0.060999999999993 -0.06)31.34% (0.062000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.3% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)67.7% (0.072999999999993 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle Jets 53.37%
    Wellington Phoenix 23.85%
    Draw 22.77%
Newcastle JetsDrawWellington Phoenix
2-1 @ 9.78% (0.045 0.04)
1-0 @ 9.14% (-0.165 -0.17)
2-0 @ 8.43% (0.052000000000001 0.05)
3-1 @ 6.01% (0.171 0.17)
3-0 @ 5.18% (0.156 0.16)
3-2 @ 3.49% (0.094 0.09)
4-1 @ 2.77% (0.143 0.14)
4-0 @ 2.39% (0.128 0.13)
4-2 @ 1.61% (0.081 0.08)
5-1 @ 1.02% (0.076 0.08)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 53.37%
1-1 @ 10.6% (-0.21 -0.21)
2-2 @ 5.67% (0.016 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.96% (-0.213 -0.21)
3-3 @ 1.35% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.77%
1-2 @ 6.15% (-0.133 -0.13)
0-1 @ 5.75% (-0.258 -0.26)
0-2 @ 3.34% (-0.156 -0.16)
1-3 @ 2.38% (-0.055 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.2% (0.0029999999999997 0)
0-3 @ 1.29% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 23.85%

Head to Head
Mar 18, 2022 8.45am
Newcastle Jets
4-0
Wellington
Boumal (51', 63'), Mikeltadze (67'), Babalj (83')
Al-Taay (35'), Mikeltadze (77')

Laws (4'), Elliot (74')
Mar 9, 2022 8.45am
Wellington
3-2
Newcastle Jets
Sotirio (25' pen.), Waine (45+1'), Ball (88')
Laws (5'), Sutton (90+3')
Penha (42'), Boumal (63')
Jurman (24'), Siatravanis (40'), O'Doherty (76'), Murnane (83')
Dec 10, 2021 8.45am
Newcastle Jets
4-0
Wellington
Mikeltadze (32', 52'), Murnane (69'), Penha (80')
Thurgate (45')

Lewis (45+1'), Elliot (50'), Ball (78')
Feb 28, 2021 7.10am
Newcastle Jets
0-2
Wellington

Millar (52'), O'Toole (58'), Koutroumbis (76')
Ball (22'), Waine (53')
Laws (36'), Rufer (67'), Hemed (75'), Sail (90+3')
Jan 24, 2021 7.10am
Wellington
1-2
Newcastle Jets
Davila (85' pen.)
Fenton (88')
Yuel (8'), O'Donovan (51')
Thurgate (28'), Yuel (69')
rhs 2.0
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