Australian A-League | Gameweek 3
Oct 22, 2022 at 7am UK
McDonald Jones Stadium
Newcastle Jets3 - 1Wellington
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Newcastle Jets and Wellington Phoenix.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 2-1 Perth Glory
Saturday, October 15 at 7am in Australian A-League
Saturday, October 15 at 7am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Wellington 2-2 Central Coast
Sunday, October 16 at 3am in Australian A-League
Sunday, October 16 at 3am in Australian A-League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle Jets win with a probability of 53.37%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 23.85% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.14%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (6.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle Jets would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle Jets | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
53.37% ( 1.06) | 22.78% ( -0.37) | 23.85% ( -0.7) |
| Both teams to score 57.8% ( 0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
