Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 56.3%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 21.85% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.84%) and 0-2 (8.65%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 (5.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Melbourne City in this match.
Result | ||
Newcastle Jets | Draw | Melbourne City |
21.85% (![]() | 21.84% (![]() | 56.3% (![]() |
Both teams to score 58.41% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.79% (![]() | 40.2% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.42% (![]() | 62.57% (![]() |
Newcastle Jets Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.04% (![]() | 31.96% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.58% (![]() | 68.41% (![]() |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.84% (![]() | 14.15% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.17% (![]() | 41.82% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Newcastle Jets | Draw | Melbourne City |
2-1 @ 5.75% (![]() 1-0 @ 5.16% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 2.94% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.19% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.14% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.12% ( ![]() Other @ 2.55% Total : 21.85% | 1-1 @ 10.08% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.63% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.52% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.39% ( ![]() Other @ 0.21% Total : 21.83% | 1-2 @ 9.86% (![]() 0-1 @ 8.84% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 8.65% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 6.43% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 5.64% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.67% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 3.14% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 2.76% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.79% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.23% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 1.08% ( ![]() Other @ 3.22% Total : 56.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |