Australian A-League | Gameweek 4

Oct 29, 2022 at 7.15am UK

Central Coast Stadium

Central Coast
4 - 2
Western Utd

Cummings (67'), N'Kololo (74'), Farrell (78'), Ayongo (88')
Aquilina (50'), Kuol (90'), Cummings (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Milanovic (17'), Pain (28')
Risdon (44'), Wenzel-Halls (49'), Kilkenny (54')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Live Updates

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Central Coast Mariners and Western United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Central Coast Mariners

All competitions

Last Game: Central Coast 1-2 Perth Glory
Sunday, October 23 at 7am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Western United

All competitions

Last Game: Western Utd 1-1 Macarthur
Friday, October 21 at 9.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 45.72%. A win for Western United had a probability of 29.15% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Western United win was 0-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.

Result
Central Coast Mariners	Draw	Western United
45.72% ( -0.86)	25.13% ( 0.26)	29.15% ( 0.6)

Both teams to score 54.72% (

-0.46)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.53% (

-0.77)

48.47% (

0.78)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.4% (

-0.71)

70.6% (

0.71)

Central Coast Mariners Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.78% (

-0.69)

21.22% (

0.7)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.88% (

-1.09)

54.12% (

1.09)

Western United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.47% (

0.03)

30.53% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.25% (

0.04)

66.75% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Central Coast Mariners 45.72%

Western United 29.15%

Draw 25.13%

Central Coast Mariners	Draw	Western United
1-0 @ 10.04% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.24% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 7.79% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 4.77% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 4.02% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 1.85% ( -0.1) 4-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.52% Total : 45.72%	1-1 @ 11.91% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.13%	0-1 @ 7.69% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 7.07% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.07% Total : 29.15%