Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 48.11%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 29.81% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.39%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western United would win this match.
Result | ||
Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Western United |
29.81% (![]() | 22.08% (![]() | 48.11% (![]() |
Both teams to score 65.99% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.13% (![]() | 33.86% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.29% (![]() | 55.71% (![]() |
Central Coast Mariners Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.26% (![]() | 22.74% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.58% (![]() | 56.42% (![]() |
Western United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.41% (![]() | 14.59% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.32% (![]() | 42.68% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Western United |
2-1 @ 7.01% (![]() 1-0 @ 4.92% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.64% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.46% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.33% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.8% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.28% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.23% ( ![]() Other @ 3.16% Total : 29.81% | 1-1 @ 9.46% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.74% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.32% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.14% ( ![]() Other @ 0.43% Total : 22.08% | 1-2 @ 9.1% (![]() 0-1 @ 6.39% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.15% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.84% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 4.33% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.94% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.81% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 2.08% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.9% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.08% ( ![]() 3-4 @ 1.03% ( ![]() Other @ 3.47% Total : 48.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Auckland FC | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 37 | 18 | 19 | 41 |
2 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 35 |
3 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 17 | 10 | 34 |
4 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 33 |
5 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 39 | 35 | 4 | 33 |
6 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 30 | 11 | 29 |
8 | Macarthur | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 25 |
9 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 22 |
10 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 21 |
11 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 19 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 45 | -32 | 11 |
13 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 18 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 20 | 37 | -17 | 8 |
> Australian A-League Full Table |