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Western United
Melbourne City
Australian A-League | Gameweek 2
Jan 16, 2021 at 8.10am UK
AAMI Park
Western United

Melbourne City
2 - 1
Western Utd

Noone (32'), MacLaren (84')
Metcalfe (58')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Vujica (22')
Sanchez (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Melbourne City and Western United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 50.59%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Western United had a probability of 24.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.48%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Western United win it was 0-1 (7.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result
Melbourne CityDrawWestern United
50.59%25.37%24.04%
Both teams to score 49.78%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.06%52.93%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.46%74.54%
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.06%20.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.32%53.68%
Western United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.96%37.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.17%73.83%
Score Analysis
    Melbourne City 50.58%
    Western United 24.04%
    Draw 25.36%
Melbourne CityDrawWestern United
1-0 @ 12.12%
2-0 @ 9.48%
2-1 @ 9.42%
3-0 @ 4.94%
3-1 @ 4.91%
3-2 @ 2.44%
4-0 @ 1.93%
4-1 @ 1.92%
4-2 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 50.58%
1-1 @ 12.04%
0-0 @ 7.76%
2-2 @ 4.68%
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 25.36%
0-1 @ 7.7%
1-2 @ 5.98%
0-2 @ 3.83%
1-3 @ 1.98%
2-3 @ 1.55%
0-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 24.04%

How you voted: Melbourne City vs Western Utd

Melbourne City
90.0%
Draw
0.0%
Western United
10.0%
20
Head to Head
Aug 26, 2020 8am
Melbourne City
2-0
Western Utd
MacLaren (68' pen.), Imai (84' og.)
Brillante (57'), Wales (75'), Luna (90+4')

Cavallo (90')
Aug 19, 2020 10.30am
Gameweek 27
Western Utd
1-3
Melbourne City
Berisha (70' pen.)
Dillon (43'), Imai (73')
Najjar (12'), MacLaren (57' pen., 86')
Jan 3, 2020 8.30am
Gameweek 13
Melbourne City
3-2
Western Utd
MacLaren (5', 44'), Luna (36')
Windbichler (29'), Atkinson (65'), Luna (84')
Delbridge (78')
Berisha (75' pen.), Diamanti (79' pen.)
Yuel (51'), Cavallo (85'), Durante (94')
Oct 27, 2019 7am
Gameweek 3
Western Utd
1-2
Melbourne City
Berisha (66' pen.)
Pain (16'), Durante (74'), Gulum (82')
MacLaren (32', 85')
Griffiths (5'), Delbridge (49'), Bouzanis (85')
Delbridge (64')
rhs 2.0
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FT
Ravens
30-23
Chargers
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